Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Port Vale
26.3%
Draw
20.8%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Port Vale
vs
0.76
Oldham
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).