Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Brighton
25.5%
Draw
20.6%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Brighton
vs
1.10
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
8.2%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).