Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.5%
Crawley Town
10.8%
Draw
85.7%
Spennymoor Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.36
Crawley Town
vs
2.62
Spennymoor Town
Markets
BTTS28.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
17.4%
0-3
15.2%
0-1
13.4%
0-4
10.0%
1-2
6.3%
1-3
5.5%
0-5
5.2%
0-0
4.9%
1-1
4.6%
1-4
3.6%
1-0
2.0%
1-5
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).