⚽ FootballData
4 – 2
HHT: 11CSV

29 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
64.9%
Stockport
19.3%
Draw
15.8%
Doncaster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.96

Stockport

vs
0.82

Doncaster

Markets

BTTS47.2%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.0%
2-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
0-1
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).