Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.2%
Samsunspor
40.6%
Draw
18.3%
Bodrumspor
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Samsunspor
vs
0.59
Bodrumspor
Markets
BTTS31.0%
Over 0.576.3%
Over 1.549.8%
Over 2.521.1%
Over 3.57.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
23.7%
1-0
17.4%
1-1
15.0%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
5.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
2.0%
2-2
1.8%
4-0
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).