Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Carlisle
25.5%
Draw
42.2%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Carlisle
vs
1.38
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).