Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.6%
Troyes
14.7%
Draw
71.6%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Troyes
vs
2.79
Marseille
Markets
BTTS64.3%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.590.2%
Over 2.575.6%
Over 3.555.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.7%
1-3
8.1%
0-2
7.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-1
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
1-4
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
0-4
4.8%
2-3
4.7%
2-1
3.6%
2-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).