Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.5%
Hoffenheim
19.1%
Draw
15.4%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Hoffenheim
vs
1.11
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS61.5%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
4-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-0
4.2%
0-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).