Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.4%
Wrexham
16.0%
Draw
8.6%
Torquay
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Wrexham
vs
0.80
Torquay
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
6.4%
4-1
5.1%
0-0
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
5-0
3.3%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).