Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.0%
Charlton
29.9%
Draw
31.0%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Charlton
vs
1.10
Leicester
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).