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04 Oct 2022 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.4%
Reading
26.4%
Draw
51.2%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Reading

vs
1.65

Norwich

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.4%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).