Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Zaragoza
25.6%
Draw
20.7%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Zaragoza
vs
0.84
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.0%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).