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AHT: 01CSV

08 Jan 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.3%
Pau FC
20.7%
Draw
28.0%
Chambly

Expected Goals (xG)

1.90

Pau FC

vs
1.35

Chambly

Markets

BTTS62.2%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
4.4%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.5%
0-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).