Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Blackpool
28.2%
Draw
30.8%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Blackpool
vs
1.18
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).