Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.8%
Bristol City
31.2%
Draw
26.1%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Bristol City
vs
0.91
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
9.5%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).