Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Malmö FF
27.8%
Draw
18.0%
Västerås SK
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Malmö FF
vs
0.81
Västerås SK
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).