Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.5%
Nurnberg
20.4%
Draw
19.0%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Nurnberg
vs
1.30
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS66.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.0%
Over 3.550.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-1
4.4%
4-0
3.4%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).