Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.1%
Toulouse
15.2%
Draw
12.7%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72
Toulouse
vs
1.08
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS61.5%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.552.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
3-0
7.5%
1-1
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
4-1
5.5%
4-0
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
5-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).