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22 Oct 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.9%
Leyton Orient
21.9%
Draw
25.2%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Leyton Orient

vs
1.10

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS54.0%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
5.1%
0-0
5.0%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).