Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.3%
Nantes
22.3%
Draw
11.4%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Nantes
vs
0.50
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS31.4%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.7%
2-0
15.8%
0-0
11.0%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-0
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-2
2.0%
4-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).