Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
Valencia
25.2%
Draw
47.4%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Valencia
vs
1.61
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.1%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.0%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).