Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Jagiellonia Białystok
24.7%
Draw
32.6%
Lech Poznań
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Jagiellonia Białystok
vs
1.52
Lech Poznań
Markets
BTTS65.5%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
4.9%
0-0
4.7%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).