⚽ FootballData
3 – 1
HHT: 21CSV

24 Apr 2021 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
28.3%
Nurnberg
26.2%
Draw
45.5%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Nurnberg

vs
1.67

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS59.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
7.7%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).