Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.7%
Villarreal
21.1%
Draw
20.2%
Betis
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Villarreal
vs
1.19
Betis
Markets
BTTS61.7%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
3-2
4.1%
0-1
3.9%
0-0
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).