Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
Cadiz
25.1%
Draw
13.4%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Cadiz
vs
0.56
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS33.6%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.0%
2-0
14.5%
0-0
12.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
7.5%
0-1
7.0%
3-1
4.2%
1-2
3.0%
4-0
2.9%
2-2
2.3%
0-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).