Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.8%
Blackpool
28.4%
Draw
41.8%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Blackpool
vs
1.41
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
7.8%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).