Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Sociedad B
30.1%
Draw
30.4%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Sociedad B
vs
0.93
Leganes
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.560.3%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.9%
0-1
12.3%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).