Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
Famalicao
25.5%
Draw
25.8%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Famalicao
vs
1.17
Estoril
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).