Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Paderborn
31.5%
Draw
34.3%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Paderborn
vs
1.12
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).