Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.4%
Portimonense
9.2%
Draw
86.4%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Portimonense
vs
3.12
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.571.6%
Over 3.550.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
12.3%
0-2
11.9%
0-4
9.6%
0-1
7.8%
1-3
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-5
6.0%
1-4
5.7%
1-1
4.3%
1-5
3.6%
0-0
2.2%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).