Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.6%
Ath Bilbao
26.2%
Draw
22.2%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.92
Girona
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).