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DHT: 11CSV

06 Apr 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.1%
Oldham
32.5%
Draw
44.4%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Oldham

vs
1.19

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS38.7%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.513.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.5%
0-0
15.1%
1-1
14.0%
0-2
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.0%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
3-1
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).