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AHT: 01CSV

09 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.6%
Monza
24.9%
Draw
53.5%
Udinese

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Monza

vs
1.58

Udinese

Markets

BTTS46.8%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.5%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
7.8%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).