Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.2%
Montpellier
12.2%
Draw
82.6%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50
Montpellier
vs
2.61
Lens
Markets
BTTS36.4%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.2%
0-3
13.2%
0-1
11.8%
0-4
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
1-3
6.6%
1-1
5.7%
0-5
4.5%
1-4
4.3%
0-0
4.3%
1-0
2.4%
1-5
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).