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AHT: 01CSV

26 Aug 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.9%
Heidenheim
18.1%
Draw
9.0%
Wurzburger Kickers

Expected Goals (xG)

2.35

Heidenheim

vs
0.72

Wurzburger Kickers

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.8%
1-0
10.1%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
5-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).