Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Salford
29.6%
Draw
38.6%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Salford
vs
1.07
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.559.0%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).