Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.6%
Cagliari
30.8%
Draw
16.6%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Cagliari
vs
0.64
Modena
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
0-0
15.0%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
12.4%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).