Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
St Mirren
29.4%
Draw
34.1%
Dundee United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
St Mirren
vs
1.15
Dundee United
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).