⚽ FootballData
4 – 2
HHT: 11CSV

13 Dec 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
63.8%
Karlsruhe
21.4%
Draw
14.8%
Regensburg

Expected Goals (xG)

2.16

Karlsruhe

vs
0.96

Regensburg

Markets

BTTS55.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.537.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.7%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.8%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).