Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Eastleigh
27.2%
Draw
37.4%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Eastleigh
vs
1.43
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).