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09 Nov 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.5%
Sandefjord
25.3%
Draw
33.2%
Tromsø

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Sandefjord

vs
1.27

Tromsø

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).