Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Niort
27.6%
Draw
34.3%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Niort
vs
1.02
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).