Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.9%
Birmingham
21.3%
Draw
9.9%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Birmingham
vs
0.43
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS27.9%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.1%
2-0
17.0%
0-0
11.4%
3-0
9.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
4.1%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).