Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.8%
Eastleigh
22.4%
Draw
22.9%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Eastleigh
vs
1.33
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS65.3%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.0%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
5.1%
3-2
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).