Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Ath Madrid
18.5%
Draw
11.6%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Ath Madrid
vs
0.79
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.1%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).