Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Orenburg
30.1%
Draw
18.6%
Bodrum FK
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Orenburg
vs
0.76
Bodrum FK
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
12.8%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).