Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.7%
Toulouse
19.1%
Draw
15.2%
Sochaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Toulouse
vs
0.80
Sochaux
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
2-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
6.4%
0-1
5.8%
0-0
5.4%
1-2
4.0%
4-0
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).