Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.9%
Las Palmas
27.9%
Draw
16.3%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Las Palmas
vs
0.59
Albacete
Markets
BTTS33.2%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.4%
0-0
14.0%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
0-2
2.5%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).