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Empoli

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HHT: 00CSV

20 Apr 2016

Verona

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.9%
Empoli
27.4%
Draw
26.7%
Verona

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Empoli

vs
0.95

Verona

Markets

BTTS44.9%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).