Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.3%
Sp Braga
17.7%
Draw
10.0%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Sp Braga
vs
0.80
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.7%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).